Tag Archives: bank of england

ECB & BoE

The Euro has appreciated today following the European Central Bank’s decision to hold rates at 0.75%, pushing the Euro through the psychological level of 1.30 against the US Dollar and consolidating above 0.80p, currently at 0.8045, against the Pound.

Elsewhere, as expected the Bank of England voted to keep interest rates on hold at 0.50% and to continue with its programme of asset purchases known as Quantitative Easing (QE) at current levels totalling £375bn. Following the move in EUR/USD the Pound has ended the day up against the US Dollar at 1.6170 but down against the Euro at 1.2428.

Regarding the future direction of Bank of England rates and QE, and therefore the Pound’s value, focus will now turn to UK inflation data due to be released on 16th October and the minutes of today’s Bank of England meeting due to be published at 09:30 on Wednesday 17th October.

17:00 04.10.12

Currency Update

Yesterday Wednesday 15th saw Greece’s troubles resurface. With Greece facing a deepening recession, the Greek Prime Minister is set to meet with his French, German and Luxemburg counterparts next week to persuade Eurozone leaders to extend the period of austerity from two to four years, essentially planning to reduce the Greek budget deficit by 1.5% of GDP annually compared to the previous agreement of 2.5%. Due to the slower pace of deficit reduction it is believed an additional £20bn of funding would be required to support Greece.

In the UK, yesterday’s jobs figures continued to defy the recession with unemployment down to 8% and the claimant count dropping by 5,900 in July. Minutes released by the Bank of England also confirmed that the Monetary Policy Committee was unanimous in its decision to leave the bank rate unchanged at 0.5% and to maintain its Quantitative Easing Asset Purchase Programme at its current level of £375bn. Unlike in previous meetings, the bank did not hint towards a bias of further rate cuts giving Sterling a further boost. It is expected that the Bank will gauge the impact of the new Funding for Lending Scheme and the completion of its current £50bn extension of QE in November before it makes a decision on more monetary easing. Today, UK retail sales also beat market expectations growing by 2.8% year on year.

The better than expected news from the UK, coupled with the Eurozone’s on-going troubles has pushed GBPEUR higher towards 1.28, currently trading at 1.2793 (EURGBP 0.7817).

Elsewhere the Pound trades between 1.56-1.57 against the US Dollar and the Euro trades at 1.23-1.24 against the US Dollar on the interbank market.

Please do not hesitate to contact the dealing team on +44 (0) 1695 581 669 for a live quote or for advice and tailored solutions to your currency requirements.

16/08/12 10:30

Contraction in UK GDP

The Pound has fallen back below 1.28 against the Euro and back below 1.55 against the US Dollar following this morning’s preliminary UK GDP data release. The data showed that the UK economy contracted much more than many economists expected.

In the second quarter UK economic output plummeted, contracting -0.7% quarter on quarter and contracting -0.8% year on year compared to a median forecast of -0.2% QoQ and -0.3% YoY. Whilst factors including the poor weather and the Jubilee bank holidays may have exaggerated the fall in GDP, underlying economic growth is expected to be close to flat or declining over 2012 despite a predicted improvement in the third quarter.

With UK inflation falling back towards the target of 2% (currently at 2.4%) and the economy in contraction, the likelihood of further Quantitative Easing and an even greater prolonged period of low Bank of England interest rates (currently 0.5%)has increased.

Please do not hesitate to contact the dealing team on +44 (0) 1695 581 669 for a live quote or tailored solutions to your currency requirements.

11:00 25/07/12

BoE and ECB

As expected the Bank of England has increased its programme of Quantitative Easing by an additional £50bn taking the total asset purchase scheme to £375bn. The Bank also decided to hold the bank rate at 0.50%.

In Europe, the European Central Bank cut its key interest rate by 0.25% to 0.75% a record low.

On the interbank market the Pound has climbed back above 1.25 against the Euro, currently at 1.2525. Whilst the Euro has fallen back below 1.25 against the US Dollar and currently trades at 1.2440. The Pound continues to trade between 1.55 and 1.56 against the US Dollar.

Please do not hesitate to contact the dealing desk on +44 (0) 1695 581 669 for a live quote.

05/07/12 13:10

Bank of England

Minutes released today by the Bank of England have revealed that the Bank came close to extending its programme of Quantitative Easing (QE) as four of the nine member Monetary Policy Committee voted to extend QE. Three members including Bank of England governor Mervyn King voted to extend QE by an additional £50bn whilst one member voted for a smaller addition of £25bn. The Bank also considered the merits of cutting the Bank Rate from 0.50% but concluded that a rate cut had no advantages over more QE.

As previously discussed, further QE from the Bank of England continues to pose a risk to Sterling’s value. On release of the minutes at 09:30 the Pound fell back below 1.24 against the Euro hitting a low of 1.2350 and back below 1.57 against the US Dollar hitting a low of 1.5650 before recovering back to 1.5730 against the US Dollar and 1.2385 against the Euro.

10:00 20/06/12

GBPEUR @ its highest level since 2008.

The Pound has appreciated following today’s Bank of England announcement that the Monetary Policy Committee has kept interest rates unchanged at 0.50% and Quantitative Easing at its current level of £325bn. Whilst this was widely expected, the possible threat of further QE always poses a threat to the value of the Pound and as such the market was reassured by the announcement and the Pound has appreciated.

Because of the continuing economic and political woes facing the Eurozone the Pound has now appreciated to its highest level against the Euro since November 2008, hitting an interbank high of 1.2496 earlier today.

Currency Matters can offer a number of products which can help you plan your future currency requirements. By using a Forward Contract it is possible to purchase currency today at a guaranteed exchange rate for settlement at a later date. A small deposit is required to secure a Forward Contract with the balance due by the agreed future value date.

Please do not hesitate to contact the dealing team on +44 (0) 1695 581 669 for further information or for a live quote.

GBPEUR 19 MONTH HIGH

The Pound has appreciated to a 19 month high against the Euro and towards recent highs against the US Dollar following the release of minutes from the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) April meeting. The minutes showed that the nine member MPC voted 8-1 in favour of keeping the Bank’s Quantitative Easing Asset Purchase Programme (QE) on hold at its current level of £325bn, with only David Miles voting for a £25bn expansion. At the previous meeting in March, two members David Miles and Adam Posen had voted for a £25bn expansion, the defection of Adam Posen to voting for no change to QE, coupled with yesterday’s higher than expected UK Consumer Price Index inflation data has reined in expectations of further QE from the Bank of England. As previously discussed, aggressive QE from the Bank of England has posed a significant threat to the value of the Pound. As this threat recedes, the Pound has appreciated.

Currency Matters can offer a number of products which can help you plan your future currency requirements. By using a Forward Contract it is possible to purchase currency today at a guaranteed exchange rate for settlement at a later date. A small deposit is required to secure a Forward Contract with the balance due by the agreed future value date.

Please do not hesitate to contact the dealing team on +44 (0) 1695 581 669 for further information or for a live quote.

11:30 18/04/12

The Pound has fallen this morning …

The Pound has fallen this morning following the release of minutes from the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting held on the 8th and 9th February. At that meeting the Bank decided to hold interest rates at the historic low of 0.50% and extend Quantitative Easing (QE) by an additional £50bn, taking the total Asset Purchase Programme to £325bn.

The minutes showed that the MPC was split over the size of the expansion of its Quantitative Easing Asset Purchase Programme. Of the nine member strong MPC, seven members voted to expand QE by an additional £50bn whilst two members voted for a larger expansion of £75bn.

As discussed in previous blogs, the threat of further QE continues to undermine the value of the Pound.

As I am writing this GBPEUR has slipped back below interbank 1.19, to a low of 1.1859 before recovering slightly towards 1.1870. Against the US Dollar the Pound has slipped back below 1.58 and currently trades at 1.5710.

Please do not hesitate to contact the dealing team on +44 (0) 1695 581 669 for further information or to discuss how Currency Matters can offer you significant savings and eliminate currency risk.

10:00 22/02/12

BoE Quarterly Inflation Report

The Pound has appreciated modestly following the release of the Bank of England’s Quarterly Inflation Report. The Pound has pushed back to 1.57 against the US Dollar from this morning’s low of 1.5676 and forced EURGBP back below 0.84p, currently at 0.8384 (GBPEUR 1.1927).

A copy of the Bank of England’s Inflation Report can be found at

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/inflationreport/ir12feb.pdf

Accurate at time of writing 10:40 15/02/12.

BoE

As expected the Bank of England has maintained interest rates at their record low of 0.50% and has voted to increase the size of its asset purchase programme, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves known as Quantitative Easing by £50billion to a total of £325 billion.

The Bank of England’s latest inflation and output projections will be published in the Inflation Report to be published at 10:30 on Wednesday 15th February and the minutes of today’s meeting will be published at 09:30am on Wednesday 22nd February.

The Pound currently trades at 1.19 against the Euro and at 1.58 against the US Dollar.