Who are EU, Who are EU

Sterling has recovered some of its losses against the Euro this morning following weak GDP data released across Europe. After initially trading flat, GBP/EUR began its ascent following the release of German GDP DATA at 7:00 GMT which confirmed the German economy had contracted by -0.6%. The pair spiked to 1.1590 immediately following the release, before continuing its climb to a daily high of 1.1646. This now puts the pair within sight of a potential target level of 1.1722, a price range where there is substantial resistance.

EU GDP figures were not any prettier either this morning, as the Eurozone recorded a GDP contraction of -0.6% also. This data also helped add further impetus to the Pounds advance against the common currency. The European GDP data hurt the Euro right across the board this morning, with EUR/USD having dropped over a cent in the space of three hours, falling to a daily low of 1.3318.
Attention is now likely to turn to the US session this afternoon where we will see the release of US jobless claims figures. Whilst EUR/USD has been trading consistently downwards this morning, contrastingly we have seen sporadic movements in cable as the pair has been pulled following the economic data from Europe. That said, sentiment towards the pair still remains bearish with 1.5268 remaining a key target level, which should it be tested, could signal a significant downtrend.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, UK Retail Sales figures are due out at 9:30 GMT and are expected to improve from the previous month, potentially aiding the Pound in recouping some of its recent losses. However, make no mistake that the focus tomorrow will well and truly be placed on the G20 meeting, which is set to be a rather contentious affair. The threat of global foreign exchange war is likely to be top of the agenda, with Japans monetary policies likely to feature heavily also. Due to this, Japan may have actually welcomed the data today that showed it remained stuck in recession last quarter, adding to Japanese officials arsenals further ahead of the G20 showdown tomorrow.

Mark Webster