Go Euro, Go

Today we will see European Finance ministers meet once again to further sure up the current deal regarding Greece. Discussion is likely to focus on the proposed supervisory role for the European Central Bank. Whilst in theory the majority of European finance ministers would be in favour of such a position, it is when it comes to the ironing out of the fine details that there is the potential for disagreement. Notably, leaders of countries outside of the Eurozone have expressed concern that they could be treated as second tier members of the new supervisor, a situation that would clearly be untenable.

Despite the meetings taking place in Europe today and across the pond regarding the fiscal cliff, the Euro has continued to strengthen against Sterling and the Dollar on the back of the Greek debt agreement reached last week. The Euro has risen against both the Pound and Dollar today, with EUR/GBP hitting 0.8128 (GBP/EUR 1.23) and EUR/USD rising to 1.3107. Sterling has also risen against the Dollar today, hitting the key level of resistance at 1.6124 that was mentioned in yesterday’s blog. Cable is continuing to test this level and should it breakthrough, we could well see 1.63 targeted next, however substantial movement will be dependent on the progress of talks regarding the fiscal cliff.

Elsewhere the Reserve Bank of Australia has cut interest rates for the second time in three months. Interest rates have been cut to 3%, equal to the half century low set in 2009, as the Australian economy continues to battle with falling commodity prices and a strong currency. Despite the interest rate drop early this morning, the Aussie Dollar has fared well, buoyed by the positive Chinese data released yesterday and also potentially because of the fact that some market participants felt the rate could have been cut even further. GBP/AUD is currently trading at a daily low of 1.5373.

Mark Webster